Hiw much longer will my Nikon D3200 last?

I favor this model, however I plan to update next year.

I've taken great quality photos with this for almost two years. I do photography here locally in my city. Portraits, kids, couples, weddings, parties, ads, ect.

I've taken 58,031 photos with it so far. And that's what I've KEPT and NOT deleted. When I search this model most say the shutters don't go much further over 50,000. Well… I take 100-600 per session. And that averages 4-7 a week. Plus a wedding averaging each month that I usually do 2,000 shot by the time the day is up.

Its never given me any problems. I keep my baby clean and treat it gently.

Hiw much longer do you think I have

That camera (like most of Nikon's semi-beginner-intermediate-thing models) is rated at 100,000. That's not a guarantee, though. Sometimes you might get lucky and get double that out of it, sometimes you might get unlucky and get half, although you've gone over half already.

All I can say is that I've used a lot of DSLRs, the majority of which were bought used, and I have never once had a shutter fail on me. I'm also given to understand that it's cheaper to replace a shutter than buy a new camera (depending on things like if the camera is under warranty, etc).

Just keep shooting with it. If the shutter goes, then you'll have to get it replaced.

No one can tell you for sure how much time you have left. Those shutter actuation estimates are just that, estimates. Some go past that mark, others don't reach it. If you use your camera a lot like this, upgrading may not be a bad idea.

I'm surprised you are doing weddings with a single camera. I wouldn't want to be the photographer who has to explain to the bride why her (typically) once in a lifetime event will only be captured partially because I did not have a backup for when **** hit the fan. Until then, I do hope you have liability insurance!

D3200 was never intended for professional uses. Despite what Nikon says in specs, I think you are stressing the body far beyond it's design. Shutter is one thing but some other part may start to give you problems. Everything was designed to withstand hobby level use. Command dials, SD card connectors, etc, etc, etc can start to become unreliable.

I think having redundant backup bodies would be advisable. If it fails, switch to backup and keep going.

Since you are earning money from it, you may want to switch to D7x00 level body as well. Then you can make that your main body and have D3200 as a backup.

You shoot with the camera until it dies. Only then do you buy a replacement. Like humans, no one knows when a dSLR will die. In the meantime, you can buy a backup camera that you will use sparingly for that "just in case you will need one badly right now" scenario.

I would say you are living on borrowed time and would be VERY nervous shooting a wedding with an entry level amateur camera that has see that level of use.
Retire it to the green pastures of reserve body and buy yourself a new one!

The shutter won't pack in just yet. The camera is only just over halfway through it's life. Nikon's says that camera is tested for 100,000 cycles. http://imaging.nikon.com/...ures02.htm - if you're lucky it might last for double that!

Don't know where you got the 50,000 figure from. But it's wrong anyway so…

Anyhoo, if you are shooting weddings, surely you have a back up camera? Don't you?

As long as you look after it.

If you are doing weddings, it is essential that you have two cameras: your main and your backup. What I do is when the time is right, I buy a new camera and use the old one as a backup. In some settings, I will use both cameras, with different lenses in order to avoid swapping lenses more than necessary.

First of all, it seems by your description that you use your camera like a machine gun… Why, I don't know. Is it because you see TV actors portraying fotogs and they also "gun" the shutter button, thinking it looks "cool" or because you figure you'll get one good one out of a few doxaen shots? Slow down, stop gunning your camera; it only gives far more images to work with during post production. Also, if that is the only camera you use for weddings… You're playing a risky game… When you least expect it, you're certain to have something go wrong and you'll be left there holding your… Disabled camera; then what? At the very least, get another, even USED, in CASE do-doo happens.